In the past 20 NFL seasons, only five teams have won the Super Bowl without first being in the top 10 of that preseason’s Super Bowl odds. Of those five (the 2017 Eagles, 2011 Giants, 2007 Giants, 2001 Patriots, and 2000 Ravens), just one was ranked outside the preseason top 15 (the ’01 Pats). The NFL bills itself as a parity-driven league in which any team can win on any given Sunday, but only a handful of squads can actually win the Super Bowl. And most years, we go into Week 1 already knowing which squads those are.
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